Key points:
- National’s Christopher Luxon up 5% to 28% in preferred PM rankings, Labour’s Chris Hipkins steady on 18%.
- National remain on 38% in party vote, Labour up 1% to 30%.
- The Greens drop 2% to 11%, while coalition partners Act and NZ First are steady on 7% and 6% respectively.
Voters may be steadily warming to Christopher Luxon as Prime Minister, the latest 1News Verian poll suggests.
Luxon has risen 5% as the preferred prime minister, his biggest lift since taking on the role.
The poll, which surveyed 1001 eligible voters and ran from August 10 to 14, showed 28% of voters view him as their preferred prime minister.
Labour leader Chris Hipkins was steady from the last poll on 18%. Greens leader Chlöe Swarbrick rounded out the top three at 7%, up 1% on the last poll result in June.
Luxon’s rating has been low compared to other first term prime ministers.
The poll surveyed 1001 eligible voters and ran from August 10 to 14. (Source: 1News)
Coalition government still in driving seat
Party votes remained largely steady meaning, if these poll results were repeated at an election, the coalition government would retain its power with 64 total seats. That would be down from the 68 it currently holds in Parliament.
The Greens were the only party currently with MPs to see a drop, falling 2% which would see them lose one seat.
The ACT Party remained at 7%, meaning its seat entitlement would drop from 11 seats to 8.
The latest 1News Verian poll shows the Prime Minister has widened the gap over Labour leader Chris Hipkins. (Source: 1News)
New Zealand First would also lose a seat on the results in the poll.
The National Party remained at 38%, the same as its previous poll result. Labour was up 1% to 30%, while Te Pāti Māori was on 4%, also up 1%.
Coalition partners National, Act and NZ First were all steady. (Source: 1News)
The major political events since the last poll, which ran from June 15 to 19, included Darleen Tana resigning from the Green Party and becoming an independent MP, and the government passing its controversial bill requiring councils to hold a referendum on whether it kept its Māori wards.
Luxon went on a trip to the United States where he attended the NATO summit.
A select committee heard submissions on the Government’s proposed repeal of Section 7AA of the Oranga Tamariki Act, and the Government received the Royal Inquiry into Abuse in State and Faith-based Care.
Party vote
National – 38% (steady)
Labour – 30% (up 1%)
Green – 11% (down 2%)
ACT – 7% (steady)
New Zealand First – 6% (steady)
Te Pāti Māori – 4% (up 1%)
The Opportunities Party (TOP) – 1% (down 1%)
New Zeal – 1% (up 1%)
Don't know / refused to say – 11% (down 2%)
Calculation assumes Te Pāti Māori retains its six electorates. (Source: 1News)
Seats in the House
(Calculation assumes Te Pāti Māori retains its electorates.)
National – 49
Labour – 38
Green – 14
ACT – 8
New Zealand First – 7
Te Pāti Māori – 6
Preferred prime minister
Christopher Luxon – 28% (up 5%)
Chris Hipkins – 18% (steady)
Chlöe Swarbrick – 7% (up 1%)
Winston Peters – 5% (up 1%)
David Seymour – 4% (steady)
See the full poll results and methodology here.
Between August 10 and 14 2024, 1001 eligible voters were polled by mobile phone (501) and online, using online panels (500). The maximum sampling error is approximately ±3.1%-points at the 95% confidence level. Party support percentages have been rounded up or down to whole numbers, except those less than 4.5%, which are reported to one decimal place. The data has been weighted to align with Stats NZ population counts for age, gender, region, ethnic identification and education level. The sample for mobile phones is selected by random dialling using probability sampling, and the online sample is collected using an online panel. Undecided voters, non-voters and those who refused to answer are excluded from the data on party support. The results are a snapshot in time of party support, and not a prediction.
Disclaimer: The copyright of this article belongs to the original author. Reposting this article is solely for the purpose of information dissemination and does not constitute any investment advice. If there is any infringement, please contact us immediately. We will make corrections or deletions as necessary. Thank you.
